11 Comments
Dec 26, 2021Liked by twebs

Like everything I have seen from you so far, this is great. Great run up in lumber and crickets on the stock. I think this is a team where buy backs at low prices are very likely.

Expand full comment

What do you think of the YAVB podcast with Mike Mitchell, Greenfirst's connection with Kyle Cerminara and the negative articles relating to Kyle Cerminara by Roddy Boyd and The Bear Cave?

Expand full comment

Interesting. But this from the article you cited seems unaddressed. 'In fact, Mason thinks that, for a normal year, there are still too many sawmills operating relative to demand. “There’s still another billion board feet of capacity that needs to come out of British Columbia.”' Wouldn't that weigh directly on the thesis?

Expand full comment

How long does the new management expect it to take before utilization is increased?

Expand full comment

Interesting. How did you arrive at the 4.5x multiple? Peers trade at 4x and are far more liquid.

Your point stands that if lumber stays at 5/600, GFP turns out to be a good bet.

Expand full comment